Meteorologia spaziale

Velocità del vento solare Vento solare dei campi magnetici Apice radioflusso a 10.7 cm
Bt Bz

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ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 28.02.2025 17.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 28 1757 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 28.02.2025 17.18 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 28 1700 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1151 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 28.02.2025 15.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 28 1459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 28.02.2025 14.19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1982
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Mar 01 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 28.02.2025 14.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4854
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 0101 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Mar 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 28.02.2025 05.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1981
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 28 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 28.02.2025 02.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 28 0215 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 23.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1980
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 28 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 27.02.2025 18.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 27 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 17.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4853
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 0101 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 28 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 17.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1979
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 27 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 27.02.2025 11.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 27 1110 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 11.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1108 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 27 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 27.02.2025 10.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 10.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 1052 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 27 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 10.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4852
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 0101 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 27 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 27.02.2025 02.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 27 0222 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 27.02.2025 01.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 27 0101 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 27 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 26.02.2025 14.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4850
Valid From: 2025 Feb 26 0431 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 26 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Emesso: 26.02.2025 12.03 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 25 0020 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 25 0240 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 25 1115 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 37 pfu
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 26.02.2025 06.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 26 0553 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 26.02.2025 04.32 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 26 0431 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 26 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Emesso: 25.02.2025 23.43 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 595
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 2338 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 25.02.2025 23.26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 25 2325 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 26 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Emesso: 25.02.2025 14.47 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 594
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 2338 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 25.02.2025 12.32 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 25 1136 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 25 1137 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 25 1149 UTC
Duration: 13 minutes
Peak Flux: 230 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 203 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Emesso: 25.02.2025 12.31 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 25 1139 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 25.02.2025 12.31 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 25 1145 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 630 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Emesso: 25.02.2025 11.49 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 593
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 2338 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 25 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Emesso: 25.02.2025 00.28 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 25 0020 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 24.02.2025 23.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4847
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 1325 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 25 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Emesso: 24.02.2025 23.38 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 2338 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Emesso: 24.02.2025 22.42 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 24 2220 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 24.02.2025 22.31 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 24 2209 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 641 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 24.02.2025 20.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 2010 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 24.02.2025 20.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 24 1958 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 24.02.2025 13.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 1325 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 24.02.2025 07.22 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 24 0703 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 588 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 24.02.2025 02.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 24 0222 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 24 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Emesso: 23.02.2025 20.14 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 23 1922 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 23 1927 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 23 1934 UTC
X-ray Class: X2.0
Location: N26W90
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 23.02.2025 19.31 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 23 1925 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 20.02.2025 09.09 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 20 0444 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 20 0444 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 20 0445 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 200 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 178 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 20.02.2025 08.37 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 19 2338 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 553 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 19.02.2025 20.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 19 2055 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 19.02.2025 20.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 19 2024 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 20 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 19.02.2025 08.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 19 0804 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 19 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 19.02.2025 07.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4843
Valid From: 2025 Feb 18 2234 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 19 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 19.02.2025 01.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 19 0149 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 19.02.2025 00.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 18 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 18.02.2025 22.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 18 2242 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 19 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 18.02.2025 22.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 18 2236 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 18.02.2025 22.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 18 2234 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 19 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 18.02.2025 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4841
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 18 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 17.02.2025 23.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4840
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 18 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 17.02.2025 11.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4839
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 17.02.2025 04.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4838
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 17 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 17.02.2025 03.47 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3424
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3934 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 16.02.2025 20.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4837
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 17 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 16.02.2025 14.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4836
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 16 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 16.02.2025 04.37 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3423
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 4741 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 16.02.2025 04.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4835
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 16 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 15.02.2025 21.15 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 16: G1 (Minor) Feb 17: None (Below G1) Feb 18: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 15.02.2025 18.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 15 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 15.02.2025 17.33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1973
Valid From: 2025 Feb 15 1015 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 15 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 15.02.2025 17.32 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4834
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 16 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 15.02.2025 10.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 15 1030 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 15 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 15.02.2025 10.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 15 1024 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 15.02.2025 10.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 15 1015 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 15 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 15.02.2025 04.51 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3422
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 6603 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 15.02.2025 04.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4833
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 15 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 14.02.2025 21.51 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 14 2107 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 941 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 14.02.2025 19.46 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 15: G1 (Minor) Feb 16: None (Below G1) Feb 17: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely early on 15 Feb UTC.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 14.02.2025 15.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 14 1459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 14.02.2025 14.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1971
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 2320 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 14 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 14.02.2025 14.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4832
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 15 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 14.02.2025 12.47 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3421
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2426 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 14.02.2025 03.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 14 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 13.02.2025 23.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4831
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 14 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 13.02.2025 23.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 2320 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 14 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 13.02.2025 19.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4830
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 14 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 13.02.2025 19.36 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 14: G1 (Minor) Feb 15: None (Below G1) Feb 16: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 13.02.2025 14.09 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3420
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2050 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 13.02.2025 05.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 13 0534 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 13.02.2025 05.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 13 0527 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 13 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 12.02.2025 11.51 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3419
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2077 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 12.02.2025 09.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4828
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 1430 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 13 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 11.02.2025 14.21 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 11 1405 UTC
Station: GOES16

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 11.02.2025 11.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4827
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 1430 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 12 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 10.02.2025 23.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4826
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 1430 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 11 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 10.02.2025 22.05 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 11: None (Below G1) Feb 12: None (Below G1) Feb 13: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 10.02.2025 11.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4825
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 1430 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 10 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 09.02.2025 20.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 09 2041 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 09.02.2025 20.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 2030 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 10 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 09.02.2025 17.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 09 1701 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 09.02.2025 14.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 09 1430 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 10 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 08.02.2025 14.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4823
Valid From: 2025 Feb 08 0803 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 08 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 08.02.2025 09.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 08 0859 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 08.02.2025 08.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 08 0803 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 08 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 07.02.2025 17.51 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 08: None (Below G1) Feb 09: None (Below G1) Feb 10: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: A recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS will likely cause G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm effects on 10 Feb.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 07.02.2025 09.44 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 07 0859 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 07 0921 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 07 0936 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.5
Location: N11W39
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Comment: 20% chance of an associated proton event later on the UTC day

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 07.02.2025 09.16 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 07 0914 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 06.02.2025 12.49 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 06 1047 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 06 1104 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 06 1116 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.6
Location: N07W17
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Comment: Tenflare at 06/1058 with peak 8100 sfu

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 06.02.2025 11.11 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 06 1058 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 06 1058 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 06 1058 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 8100 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 191 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 06.02.2025 11.01 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 06 1113 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 05.02.2025 08.53 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 05 0751 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 390 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 04.02.2025 11.23 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 04 1121 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 03.02.2025 13.27 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 03 1307 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 03 1318 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 03 1323 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.1
Optical Class: 2b
Location: N04E15
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 03.02.2025 13.18 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 03 1315 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 03.02.2025 06.38 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 03 0550 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 03 0550 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 03 0550 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 220 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 216 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 03.02.2025 04.12 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 03 0352 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 03 0358 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 03 0404 UTC
X-ray Class: M8.8
Location: N05E24
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 03.02.2025 03.57 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 03 0358 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 02.02.2025 15.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 02 1550 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 02 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 02.02.2025 15.46 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 02 1530 UTC
Station: GOES16

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 02.02.2025 14.15 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 02 1358 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Feb 02 1404 UTC
End Time: 2025 Feb 02 1408 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.1
Location: N18E03
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 02.02.2025 14.05 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 02 1404 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 02.02.2025 10.40 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 02 1018 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 664 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 02.02.2025 06.22 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 02 0540 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 736 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 02.02.2025 05.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4821
Valid From: 2025 Feb 01 0023 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 02 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.02.2025 14.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4820
Valid From: 2025 Feb 01 0023 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Feb 02 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 01.02.2025 14.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 01 1457 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 01 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 01.02.2025 13.52 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Feb 01 1328 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 264 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 01.02.2025 02.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Feb 01 0230 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.02.2025 00.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Feb 01 0023 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Feb 01 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 31.01.2025 14.30 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Jan 31 1340 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Jan 31 1406 UTC
End Time: 2025 Jan 31 1425 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.7
Location: N14E41
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 31.01.2025 14.20 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Jan 31 1356 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 673 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 31.01.2025 14.18 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Jan 31 1348 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Jan 31 1352 UTC
End Time: 2025 Jan 31 1402 UTC
Duration: 14 minutes
Peak Flux: 280 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 184 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 31.01.2025 13.58 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jan 31 1358 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 30.01.2025 17.06 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jan 31: G1 (Minor) Feb 01: G1 (Minor) Feb 02: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 29.01.2025 18.54 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Jan 29 1821 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 487 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

Tabella

Data Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Numero di macchie solari Zona macchie solari 10E-6 Nuove regioni GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux Brillamenti
X-ray Ottica
C M X S 1 2 3
29.01.2025 173 161 540 1 * 10 1 0 0 0 0 0
30.01.2025 184 144 560 2 * 9 0 0 1 0 0 0
31.01.2025 207 141 660 0 * 13 3 0 13 1 0 0
01.02.2025 188 145 660 0 * 8 1 0 0 0 0 0
02.02.2025 216 156 910 1 * 14 6 0 1 1 0 0
03.02.2025 220 153 890 0 * 10 10 0 7 0 2 0
04.02.2025 212 194 1215 3 * 13 5 0 10 0 0 0
05.02.2025 191 159 990 1 * 17 2 0 12 1 0 0
06.02.2025 188 169 760 1 * 14 2 0 14 3 0 0
07.02.2025 182 179 1120 1 * 11 3 0 1 0 0 0
08.02.2025 173 168 870 0 * 14 1 0 7 0 0 0
09.02.2025 163 142 685 1 * 6 0 0 1 0 0 0
10.02.2025 159 104 840 1 * 5 1 0 2 0 0 0
11.02.2025 153 91 690 1 * 8 1 0 0 0 0 0
12.02.2025 166 88 800 1 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
13.02.2025 173 112 1200 2 * 7 1 0 10 0 0 0
14.02.2025 179 111 1020 1 * 4 3 0 5 2 0 0
15.02.2025 184 153 1120 2 * 9 0 0 2 0 0 0
16.02.2025 185 271 1270 2 * 9 0 0 1 0 0 0
17.02.2025 185 218 1550 0 * 17 1 0 9 0 0 0
18.02.2025 178 187 1465 0 * 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
19.02.2025 178 119 1315 0 * 6 0 0 1 0 0 0
20.02.2025 184 123 1335 0 * 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
21.02.2025 197 138 1240 1 * 6 2 0 11 2 0 0
22.02.2025 199 215 1230 6 * 15 0 0 11 0 0 0
23.02.2025 210 186 1150 0 * 7 4 1 7 0 0 0
24.02.2025 203 182 1410 1 * 4 4 0 1 1 0 0
25.02.2025 190 155 1290 1 * 2 2 0 6 1 0 0
26.02.2025 180 123 1000 0 * 6 0 0 1 0 0 0
27.02.2025 170 129 830 0 * 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Media/Totale 186 154 1021 30 268 53 1 134 12 2 0

Grafico riassuntivo

Brillamenti

Solar wind

Solar Wind

The solar wind is a stream of plasma released from the upper atmosphere of the Sun. It consists of mostly electrons, protons and alpha particles with energies usually between 1.5 and 10 keV. The stream of particles varies in density, temperature, and speed over time and over solar longitude. These particles can escape the Sun's gravity because of their high energy, from the high temperature of the corona and magnetic, electrical and electromagnetic phenomena in it.

The solar wind is divided into two components, respectively termed the slow solar wind and the fast solar wind. The slow solar wind has a velocity of about 400 km/s, a temperature of 1.4–1.6×10e6 K and a composition that is a close match to the corona. By contrast, the fast solar wind has a typical velocity of 750 km/s, a temperature of 8×10e5 K and it nearly matches the composition of the Sun's photosphere. The slow solar wind is twice as dense and more variable in intensity than the fast solar wind. The slow wind also has a more complex structure, with turbulent regions and large-scale structures.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) is an excellent indicator of solar activity. Often called the F10.7 index, it is one of the longest running records of solar activity. The F10.7 radio emissions originates high in the chromosphere and low in the corona of the solar atmosphere. The F10.7 correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV) and visible solar irradiance records. Reported in “solar flux units”, (s.f.u.), the F10.7 can vary from below 50 s.f.u., to above 300 s.f.u., over the course of a solar cycle.

Flares

Flares

A solar flare is a sudden flash of brightness observed over the Sun's surface or the solar limb, which is interpreted as a large energy release of up to 6 × 10e25 joules of energy. They are often, but not always, followed by a colossal coronal mass ejection. The flare ejects clouds of electrons, ions, and atoms through the corona of the sun into space. These clouds typically reach Earth a day or two after the event.

Solar flares affect all layers of the solar atmosphere (photosphere, chromosphere, and corona), when the plasma medium is heated to tens of millions of kelvin, while the electrons, protons, and heavier ions are accelerated to near the speed of light. They produce radiation across the electromagnetic spectrum at all wavelengths, from radio waves to gamma rays, although most of the energy is spread over frequencies outside the visual range and for this reason the majority of the flares are not visible to the naked eye and must be observed with special instruments. Flares occur in active regions around sunspots, where intense magnetic fields penetrate the photosphere to link the corona to the solar interior. Flares are powered by the sudden (timescales of minutes to tens of minutes) release of magnetic energy stored in the corona. The same energy releases may produce coronal mass ejections (CME), although the relation between CMEs and flares is still not well established.

The frequency of occurrence of solar flares varies, from several per day when the Sun is particularly "active" to less than one every week when the Sun is "quiet", following the 11-year cycle (the solar cycle). Large flares are less frequent than smaller ones.

Classification

Solar flares are classified as A, B, C, M or X according to the peak flux (in watts per square metre, W/m2) of 100 to 800 picometre X-rays near Earth, as measured on the GOES spacecraft.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Sunspots are temporary phenomena on the photosphere of the Sun that appear visibly as dark spots compared to surrounding regions. They correspond to concentrations of magnetic field that inhibit convection and result in reduced surface temperature compared to the surrounding photosphere. Sunspots usually appear in pairs, with pair members of opposite magnetic polarity. The number of sunspots varies according to the approximately 11-year solar cycle.

Sunspot populations quickly rise and more slowly fall on an irregular cycle of 11 years, although significant variations in the number of sunspots attending the 11-year period are known over longer spans of time. For example, from 1900 to the 1960s, the solar maxima trend of sunspot count has been upward; from the 1960s to the present, it has diminished somewhat. Over the last decades the Sun has had a markedly high average level of sunspot activity; it was last similarly active over 8,000 years ago.

The number of sunspots correlates with the intensity of solar radiation over the period since 1979, when satellite measurements of absolute radiative flux became available. Since sunspots are darker than the surrounding photosphere it might be expected that more sunspots would lead to less solar radiation and a decreased solar constant. However, the surrounding margins of sunspots are brighter than the average, and so are hotter; overall, more sunspots increase the Sun's solar constant or brightness. The variation caused by the sunspot cycle to solar output is relatively small, on the order of 0.1% of the solar constant (a peak-to-trough range of 1.3 W/m2 compared to 1366 W/m2 for the average solar constant).

Indici K



Oggi


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5. 00 4. 00 4.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Data A Indici K (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
30.01.2025 6 1. 33 1. 00 0.
31.01.2025 8 1. 67 1. 00 1.
01.02.2025 26 4. 00 3. 67 3.
02.02.2025 21 3. 67 4. 00 3.
03.02.2025 4 1. 67 0. 67 1.
04.02.2025 5 1. 00 1. 00 1.
05.02.2025 6 1. 00 2. 00 1.
06.02.2025 9 2. 33 3. 00 2.
07.02.2025 4 0. 67 0. 33 0.
08.02.2025 11 1. 00 2. 67 3.
09.02.2025 18 1. 33 2. 00 2.
10.02.2025 24 4. 67 2. 33 4.
11.02.2025 17 4. 00 3. 00 3.
12.02.2025 17 3. 33 4. 00 3.
13.02.2025 23 3. 33 4. 33 3.
14.02.2025 27 4. 67 4. 33 3.
15.02.2025 28 3. 67 3. 67 3.
16.02.2025 18 3. 00 3. 67 3.
17.02.2025 15 3. 00 3. 33 2.
18.02.2025 14 3. 67 3. 33 2.
19.02.2025 20 5. 00 3. 33 4.
20.02.2025 7 3. 67 2. 67 1.
21.02.2025 6 3. 00 0. 67 1.
22.02.2025 7 3. 00 0. 67 0.
23.02.2025 7 3. 00 1. 67 1.
24.02.2025 14 3. 33 1. 33 1.
25.02.2025 9 1. 67 2. 00 1.
26.02.2025 16 3. 00 3. 67 3.
27.02.2025 33 4. 00 4. 33 3.
28.02.2025 32 5. 00 4. 00 4.

Middle Latitude

Data A Indici K
30.01.2025 4 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 2
31.01.2025 5 1 1 0 1 2 2 2 2
01.02.2025 21 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3
02.02.2025 18 2 4 3 3 4 4 3 2
03.02.2025 4 1 0 0 1 3 2 1 1
04.02.2025 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 0
05.02.2025 6 1 2 0 1 2 3 2 1
06.02.2025 9 2 3 2 0 3 3 2 2
07.02.2025 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 0
08.02.2025 9 0 3 3 2 3 2 2 1
09.02.2025 14 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4
10.02.2025 17 4 1 3 4 3 3 3 3
11.02.2025 10 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
12.02.2025 12 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 2
13.02.2025 19 3 4 3 4 3 2 3 4
14.02.2025 20 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 3
15.02.2025 20 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4
16.02.2025 14 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 4
17.02.2025 11 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3
18.02.2025 10 3 2 1 1 1 3 1 4
19.02.2025 13 4 2 3 2 2 2 3 3
20.02.2025 5 3 2 1 0 2 1 0 1
21.02.2025 6 3 0 1 1 2 2 2 1
22.02.2025 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 1
23.02.2025 6 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3
24.02.2025 10 3 1 2 2 3 2 3 2
25.02.2025 11 2 3
26.02.2025 13 2 3 2 2 4 3 3 2
27.02.2025 24 3 3 3 5 4 4 3 4
28.02.2025 4 3 3 3 5

High Latitude

Data A Indici K
30.01.2025 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
31.01.2025 9 1 0 0 4 4 2 1 1
01.02.2025 46 2 2 3 3 7 7 4 3
02.02.2025 40 2 2 5 6 6 6 2 2
03.02.2025 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
04.02.2025 5 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 1
05.02.2025 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 1 0
06.02.2025 11 1 1 1 3 5 2 1 1
07.02.2025 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
08.02.2025 30 0 1 6 5 6 4 1 0
09.02.2025 28 1 1 3 3 5 6 5 3
10.02.2025 31 4 2 5 5 4 5 4 3
11.02.2025 21 3 3 3 4 4 5 3 2
12.02.2025 23 3 3 3 5 4 5 2 2
13.02.2025 37 2 4 5 6 6 4 3 3
14.02.2025 44 4 5 5 3 6 6 4 4
15.02.2025 55 3 3 3 7 5 7 5 3
16.02.2025 28 2 3 5 6 3 4 3 3
17.02.2025 20 2 2 2 4 5 5 2 2
18.02.2025 12 3 4 2 0 1 3 3 3
19.02.2025 19 4 3 5 3 2 2 3 3
20.02.2025 4 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
21.02.2025 3 1 0 1 1 3 0 0 0
22.02.2025 5 2 0 1 3 3 0 1 0
23.02.2025 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 1
24.02.2025 17 1 0 0 5 4 3 4 3
25.02.2025 11 3 2
26.02.2025 33 1 4 3 6 4 5 5 3
27.02.2025 54 3 5 4 7 6 6 4 3
28.02.2025 4 4 5 6 6

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Origine dati: NOAA, Wikipedia

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